The situation in Libya is offering a puzzle as difficult to interpret: it becomes especially difficult to find suitable solutions. Observe how the U.S. balbettino in addressing these issues, I think it is confirmed that an endogenous source of the insurgency. Alternatively, we conclude that the U.S. may have underestimated the strength of Gaddafi, but it would be a mistake too gross to make it believable really thought of an immediate disintegration a regime that has more than forty years, can you really believe such a high level of amateurism?
fact is that we do not know how to act. One wonders if you can let the current conflict are conducted through the internal forces in Libya, or whether you should act, and in this case with that mode. The measures taken by the UN Security Council appear to be inappropriate. In the short term, the embargo will be totally ineffective, and have proposed a process of the international court against Gaddafi has certainly been a hasty move, which could have the opposite effect to it, pushing the character to more intransigence. A measure adopted in the absence of statements is almost certainly the government to send weapons all'autoproclamatosi in Cyrenaica, via third countries (speaking of Saudi Arabia). However, this appears inadequate to the rapid fall of the despot, avoiding a continuation of the bloody armed conflict. There has been talk of establishing a "nofly areas." Given the modesty Libyan aviation, it would seem a fit easily achievable, but things are definitely more complicated, because it implies a willingness to undertake military action, and then it would be difficult to differentiate from a true declaration of war against Gaddafi. For example, I could cite the need to defend their aircraft in flight in order to implement the ban on flights, and so proceed to the bombing of antiaircraft positions in the hand of Gaddafi: Where would stop the escalation?
The current situation, however, is intolerable. Not only should stop the river of blood in the course (but you can do it poured?), But you risk somaliarizzazione Libya, with a fragmentation of power that would result in an endless war on gangs. Besides, our leaders are very sensitive to what Gaddafi said yesterday that without him there would be a huge and unstoppable flow of migrants to Europe. Come ho detto altrove, la questione delle migrazioni non ha soluzioni, ma deve poter essere gestita: fino a quante decine di migliaia di persone l’anno l’Europa, ed in particolare l’Italia è in grado effettivamente di accogliere?
La verità è che la comunità internazionale ha fatto di gran parte dell’Africa un’enorme Somalia, tutti impegnati a sfruttarne le risorse naturali, abbiamo affidato a despoti locali il mantenimento di quell’ordine del terrore che ci serviva per lucrare a nostro piacimento a loro detrimento. Questo equilibrio è impossibile da mantenere perché non è un vero equilibrio. Basta infatti qualunque fattore di perturbazione per rivelare la precarietà of these situations, and immediately open catastrophic scenarios that no one is then able to manage adequately. Libya's Gaddafi, in words so invisible to Western governments, so ostentatiously anti-Western, has in fact played an essential role in favor of the West, providing oil and gas, but also doing it as a shield between the band sub-Saharan Africa, the poorest absolute whole of Africa and the Mediterranean, including the recent agreement between Italy and Libya was just the last piece.
then propose scenarios that are difficult to predict, and in fact the West has no real solutions ready, because the problem leads immediately to Libya problem of Africa.
In this situation, the only suggestion I can give is to use extreme caution in dealing with this problem, without taking at face value the information we receive and do not realize that solutions are easier and faster .
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